Indonesian volcano erupts, catching scientists off-guard; 30,000 people flee to safety

By Malcolm Ritter, AP
Monday, August 30, 2010

Indonesian volcano erupts after 400 years of quiet

TANAH KARO, Indonesia — Tens of thousands of people packed emergency shelters after a long-dormant volcano in western Indonesia spewed clouds of hot ash and smoke more than a mile (several kilometers) into the air — an eruption that caught scientists off-guard.

The eruption of Mount Sinabung put the region on the highest alert level, and some domestic flights had to be diverted because of poor visibility.

Villagers living along Sinabung’s fertile slopes in North Sumatra province started heading down the 8,000-foot (2,400-meter) volcano after it began rumbling during the weekend.

An explosion Sunday was followed by a much more powerful blast Monday, and the number of people who evacuated hit 30,000, with hastily abandoned homes and crops blanketed in gray ash. The air was thick with the smell of sulfur.

Two people died, but Priyadi Kardono of the National Disaster Management Agency said it was too early to say if the volcano was to blame.

Sinabung last erupted in 1600, and officials acknowledged that they had not been monitoring the volcano because it had been dormant for so long.

“The nearest monitoring post to Sinabung is Mount Merapi — around 400 kilometers (240 miles) to the southeast — so we were totally in the dark. We didn’t know anything until it started rumbling,” said Imam Simulingga, a government vulcanologist.

He noted that there are 129 active volcanoes to watch in Indonesia, which is spread across 17,500 islands and is prone to eruptions and earthquakes because of its location within the so-called “Ring of Fire” — a series of fault lines stretching from the Western Hemisphere through Japan and Southeast Asia.

“We’ll be watching it closely from now on,” said Surono, another government vulcanologist, adding that because eruption patterns have not been observed, “we really have no idea what to expect.”

“We don’t know what set it off, how long it will continue or whether we should expect pyroclastic flows or more powerful eruptions,” added Surono, who like many Indonesians uses only one name.

Monitoring a volcano can include such techniques as looking for seismic activity that indicates disturbances from rising magma, sampling gases and looking for slight degrees of uplift in land, said Lee Siebert, director of the Global Volcanism Program at the Smithsonian Institution.

He said it’s no surprise that Sinabung would erupt after 400 years of being quiet. That’s not very long by geological standards, Siebert said, noting that a volcano that has erupted within the past 10,000 years can be considered active.

Like other volcanoes along the Sumatra fault line — the meeting point of the Eurasian and Pacific tectonic plates that have pushed against each other for millions of years — Sinabung has the potential to be very destructive.

Magma forming inside the conical tip can act as a plug, allowing pressure to build up until it reaches a bursting point.

“A volcano with a long repose period could deliver a more powerful eruption,” as was the case with Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines in 1991, which killed about 800 people, said Alain Bernard, a professor at the University of Brussels.

Sinabung could either go back to sleep or produce a series of blasts with increasing intensity, he said.

“A Pinatubo-size eruption is a rare event and unlikely to appear during the following days,” Bernard said. “It takes normally weeks or months.”

The number of people evacuated to emergency shelters, mosques and churches reached more than 30,000 by Monday evening, said Erni Damanik with the Tanah Karo district information center.

Many wore respiratory masks to protect themselves against the soot and sulfur-choked air. Food, emergency tents and medicine were sent to the scene, officials said.

Although strong wind shifts or a powerful follow-up blast could affect air traffic in nearby Singapore and Malaysia, Transportation Ministry spokesman Bambang Ervan said only four domestic flights heading to the provincial capital of Medan were diverted so far.

The Eyjafjallajokul volcano in Iceland erupted April 14 and disrupted international flights for days. Pall Einarsson, geophysicist at the University of Iceland, said he saw no connection between that eruption and the one in Indonesia on Sunday.

Indonesia is home to some of the largest eruptions in recorded history.

The 1815 explosion of Mount Tambora buried the inhabitants of Sumbawa Island under searing ash, gas and rock, killing an estimated 88,000 people.

The 1883 eruption of Krakatoa could be heard 2,000 miles (3,200 kilometers) away and blackened skies region-wide for months. At least 36,000 people were killed in the blast and the tsunami that followed.

Ritter, an AP science writer, reported from New York. Associated Press writers Irwan Firdaus and Ali Kotarumalos in Jakarta and Robert Barr in London also contributed.

Online:

www.volcano.si.edu

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